June Technical Forecast

  Changes this month: The model is apparently basing its predictions on the thesis that interest rates will move up in June, following the 10 year rate drop from 2.6% in March to 2.1% now.  If the model is right, we should see base metals do better, and bonds do poorly.  Therefor the model has moved Base Metals to overweight, and held bonds and REITS at underweight. Interestingly, the S&P 500 weighting has been moved to neutral.  At this point, the model believes the market is essentially fairly valued, with no big move in sight.  Early predictions for July show the S&P 500 weighting to jump to positive, but that is a very preliminary estimate.   Foreign markets are all still underweight, though should improve if rates go up.